Roberto Bautista Agut vs Jacob Fearnley Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• When examining recent second serve performance, Agut has the edge with a 46.78% win rate compared to Fearnley's 44.23%. Could this margin influence the outcome? It often does.
• In return game statistics, Fearnley holds a slight edge by winning 46.98% of opponents' second serve points versus Agut's 45.84%, yet Agut excels in first serve returns with 26.53% compared to Fearnley’s 23.39%.
• Analysis under pressure shows Agut saving 53.98% of breakpoints, marginally outperforming Fearnley's 52.84% save rate.
• Over the past year, Agut’s match win rate stands at 50%, in contrast to Fearnley's more impressive 63.77%. Could this indicate a stronger recent form for Fearnley?
• In terms of their best surfaces, Agut thrives on Grass with a win rate of 66%, whereas Fearnley excels on Indoor hard courts, boasting an 82% win rate.
• While Agut predominantly competes on the Main tour with a 55.88% win rate, Fearnley has been more successful in Challengers/ITF tournaments, winning 77.78% of his matches. Could the event level affect their match-up?
• Agut’s average opponent rank over the last year is 51.25, significantly higher than Fearnley's 160.96, which might suggest Agut faces tougher competition regularly.
• In deciding sets, Fearnley edges slightly ahead with a 69% win rate, whereas Agut has a 67% win rate in such scenarios.
• Regarding breakpoint conversion, Agut narrowly leads with a conversion rate of 32.39% against Fearnley's 31.54%.

Editorial Prediction (August 27, 2025, UTC):

Assessing the current statistics, Agut demonstrates a stronger second serve performance and returns first serves more effectively than Fearnley. These factors could be pivotal in the upcoming match.

Fearnley's higher overall win rate this past year indicates a solid form, although it is essential to account for the difference in competition level between the two players over the last 12 months. Agut has been regularly competing against tougher opponents.

Surface performance reveals key differences: Agut excels on Grass, which might play a role if the match surface aligns with his strengths. Fearnley's remarkable success on indoor hard courts could, however, suggest he might have an advantage if the surface favors his playstyle.

Despite both players displaying good under-pressure performance, the slight edge in breakpoint conversion and main tour experience suggests Agut might have a competitive edge. Agut's consistent performance at a higher competition level signals he is likely to maneuver through the critical points efficiently.

While both players present solid case points, Agut's experience and skill in negotiating pressure situations and a marginal edge in statistics lead us to predict him as the likely winner of the upcoming match.